Dan Pompei's look: The last time the Packers played the Bears, it marked the low point of the Bears' season. The Bears struggled against the run and the pass, and the Packers had success in all phases of their game in a 37-3 victory. Since then, the Packers have lost three straight and basically played themselves out of playoff contention. They are a beaten-up team, having lost right tackle Mark Tauscher, middle linebacker Nick Barnett, defensive tackle Cullen Jenkins, safety Atari Bigby and others to injury.The Bears still could have problems with the Packers' explosive offense, but they should be able to capitalize on the Packers' defensive problems. They have struggled to stop the run (they rank 27th in rushing defense) and to put pressure on the passer (they rank 28th in sacks).
Key stat: In his career against the Bears, Packers halfback Ryan Grant is averaging 6.3 yards per carry.
Key matchup: Bears QB Kyle Orton versus Packers safety Charles Woodson. The Packers moved Woodson from corner to safety since the teams last met. Woodson is an outstanding corner but an inexperienced safety.
Early pick: Bears 26, Packers 23.
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